Service Plays Monday 02/02/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Confidential Tip-Off (CTO)

MONDAY

*GOLDEN STATE over San Antonio (NBA)...Golden State regained services of key G Monta Ellis and Stephen “Captain Jack” Jackson (combined for 40 ppg LY), and it made an immediate difference for Warriors. G.S. is 7-2-1 vs. the number last 10 through Jan. 27, with 3 of Warriors 13 SU wins coming in the last 5 games. Warriors are a solid 9-3 as a home dog this season, and could be even deeper if Jamal Crawford (hamstring; 20 ppg) or Marco Belinelli (ankle bruise; 10 ppg) can return.
*GOLDEN STATE 104 - San Antonio 100 RATING - 10

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

POINTWISE

NBA
BASKETBALL

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 2
(7:05) ORLANDO MAGIC 109 - Dallas Mavericks 93
(7:05) WASHINGTON WIZARDS 100 - Memphis 99
(7:35) Los Angeles Lakers 115 - NEW YORK KNICKS 109
(7:35) MIAMI HEAT 98 - Los Angeles Clippers 96
(8:05) NEW ORLEANS HORNETS 104 - Portland 101
(9:05) PHOENIX SUNS 99 - Sacramento Kings 97
(9:05) UTAH JAZZ 108 - Charlotte Bobcats 88
(10:35) San Antonio Spurs 109 - GOLDEN STATE 103

BEST BETS: ORLANDO (2), LA CLIPPERS, SACRAMENTO, UTAH (1)

 

[cubancigarwinner]

Rick Lang In Another Winning Day Hitting The Cardinals And The Cavs. A 2-1 Sunday And Now Comes Back With A Bookie Basher Blowout Of The Day Miami Heat. Where In The Nba He Is 6-2 Ats In The Last Eight ******

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Raging Bull

Soccer:

Mainz/Kaiserslautern over 2.5 (German 2 Bundesliga)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty split with the Steelers (-7 )and Over (46) Sunday night.

Tonight it's Connecticut. The profit is 105 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

(527) MANHATTAN
(528) MARIST
Take "(528) MARIST"

Marist has been pretty awful lately, but this might be the spot where the Red Foxes snap their skid. Marist will be looking to avenge an earlier loss at Manhattan and the Jaspers aren't exactly road warriors. Marist is your free opinion for Monday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

(515) SAN ANTONIO SPURS
(516) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
Take "Under"

This is a game about different styles of tempo, with the run-and-gun Warriors against the defensive-minded Spurs. Oddsmakers have been overvaluing the Golden State offense of late, on a 6-1 run under the total. San Antonio is on a 5-3 under run with the No. 6 defense in the NBA, allowing 94 ppg. These teams met once this season back on December 6, and who controlled the tempo? San Antonio allowed 88 points in a game that sailed under the total. Play the Spurs/Warriors under the total.

 

[SpeedKills+]

John Morrison

2/2 LA Lakers [A]
New York

always buy 3 pts w/ this system, Clippers hit Friday b/c of the 3 pts.

 

[ymmit2nd]

Cappers Access



Louisville And Kansas

 

[kidman232]

The soccer Guru

Record: 0-1 since return

over 2.5 goals between boulogne/montpellier (french)

 

[SteveMcQueen]

ATS Sports Club
February 2, 2009

NBA:

Magic -6
Jazz -7
Blazers/Hornets under 187
Kings/Suns over 224
Spurs/Warriors over 213

NCAA:

Louisville -2
Kansas/Baylor over 153

NHL:

Blues/Red Wings over 5.5

 

[ymmit2nd]

Fat Harry

L.A. Clippers +10 1/2

 

[psandman311]

red dog sports
5* over lakers/knicks

jim fiest
5* miami heat

 

[steve114123]

Is that fiest 1st half goy?

jim fiest
5* miami heat[/quote]

 

[skidmrk]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NBA

Dallas (27-19, 21-25 ATS) at Orlando (36-10, 31-14-1 ATS)

After a quick road trip north of the border, the Magic return home in search of their fourth straight victory as they host the Mavericks.

Orlando went to Toronto on Sunday and got a 113-90 victory as a six-point road favorite, the Magic’s third straight ATS win. They have averaged 104.8 points per game while allowing just 96.4 ppg in their last five, and Orlando is 18-4 this season in front of its home fans (14-8 ATS).

Dallas has won two straight, including Saturday’s 111-96 road win in Miami as two-point favorites. The Mavericks have found their offensive touch lately, hitting triple-digits in each of the last four and they’ve averaged 107.8 ppg in the last five while shooting 48.6 percent from the floor.

Dallas has won four of the last five meetings in this rivalry, including a 107-98 victory in Florida last season as a 4½-point pup. The Mavs are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four trips to Orlando, and the visitor has cashed in each of the last five meetings. However, the Magic are 7-2 ATS in the last nine matchups overall.

The Mavericks are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 after getting one day off and 2-6 ATS in their last eight after a spread-cover, but they are riding positive ATS streaks of 5-2 overall, 9-3 as a road ‘dog and 7-3 against Southeast Division squads. Orlando is on a plethora of positive ATS trends that include 35-17-1 overall, 8-2 at home, 36-16-1 against Western Conference Teams, 16-6 as a favorite, 7-2 as a home favorite and 43-20 as a favorite of 5 to 10½ points.

Dallas is riding “over” streaks of 4-1 overall, 4-0 on the road, 19-8 as a ‘dog, 4-1 after a straight-up win and 20-8 on the road against teams with a winning home record. Orlando has stayed under the total in nine of 12 at home, nine of 11 as a favorite and 42 of its last 63 as a home chalk of 5 to 10½ points. Finally, the over is a perfect 8-0 in the last eight meetings in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


Portland (29-17, 24-22 ATS) at New Orleans (28-16, 19-23-2 ATS)

The Blazers will be looking for their fifth straight victory when they visit New Orleans Arena to take on the Hornets.

Portland scored a 122-108 home victory over Utah on Saturday and cashed as a nine-point favorite, the Blazers fourth consecutive SU and ATS win. The last time the Blazers went on the road was a week ago when they crushed the Clippers 113-88 in Los Angeles as 10½-point road favorites. Portland is 11-12 SU and 9-14 ATS on the road.

New Orleans has lost two straight, the first being Friday’s stunning 91-87 home loss to the Warriors as an 8½-point favorite. Then Saturday, the Hornets went to San Antonio and fell 106-93 as a 7½-point pup. New Orleans is 16-6 at home this season but a mediocre 10-11-1 ATS.

The host has won nine of the last 10 in this series and gotten the cash in eight of those contests. The only road win came exactly one month ago, when the Hornets went to Portland and prevailed 92-77 as 1½-point favorites. These teams have met three times this season with the Hornets holding a 2-1 (1-2 ATS) advantage. The favorite is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

Portland is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as a ‘dog, 0-4 ATS as a road ‘dog, and 1-6 ATS in its last seven on the road against a team with a winning home mark, but the Blazers are on positive pointspread streaks of 4-0 overall, 7-2 against the Southwest Division and 29-14 as an underdog of less than five points. New Orleans is riding ATS streaks of 51-22-1 after a non-cover and 45-20-2 after a straight-up loss.

The Blazers have topped the total in four of their last five road games, but they are on “under” streaks 9-0 as an underdog, 21-6 as a road ‘dog, 16-6 against the Southwest Division and 6-0 against teams with a winning record. The Hornets are on “under” runs of 20-7 after getting one day off, 10-2 as a home favorite, 5-0 on Mondays and 5-0 against teams with a winning record. Also, in this rivalry, the under has been the play in each of the last six meetings.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

 

[skidmrk]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

(2) Connecticut (20-1, 8-7 ATS) at (7) Louisville (17-3, 12-8 ATS)

It’s a matchup of Big East heavyweights, as UConn makes the trek to Freedom Hall in Louisville to face the Cardinals, with both squads riding nine-game winning streaks after going unbeaten in January.

UConn destroyed Providence Saturday 94-61, easily cashing as a 13-point home favorite, the Huskies third consecutive spread-cover. UConn is a perfect 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in Big East roadies this season, most recently going to Chicago on Wednesday and crushing DePaul 71-49 as a 13½-point road chalk.

Louisville extended its winning streak to nine with a 69-63 victory over West Virginia on Saturday, but just missed as a 6½-point favorite, halting a 7-0 ATS run. The Cardinals, who have held fie straight opponents to 63 points or less, are 8-5 ATS at Freedom Hall this season, including 3-1 ATS in the last four.

Both these teams are stingy on defense with UConn allowing just 61.8 points and 38 percent shooting, while the Cardinals give up just 60.3 ppg on 38.3 percent shooting.

The Huskies won the only meeting between these two last season, prevailing 69-67 and pushing as a two-point home favorite. The host has won three of the last four, but Louisville is 3-0-1 ATS during this stretch.

UConn is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games and 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 on Monday. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are on ATS runs of 37-14-2 against Big East competition, 5-1-1 on Monday and 4-1 against teams with a winning record.

The over is 8-3 in the Huskies’ last 11 after a spread-cover, but otherwise UConn is on “under” stretches of 7-3 overall, 4-1 on the road and 5-1 on Monday. Louisville has topped the total in four of its last five home games, but the Cardinals have stayed under the total in six of their last seven Monday contests.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


Kansas (17-4, 10-5 ATS) at Baylor (15-6, 6-7 ATS)

Two Big 12 teams going in opposite directions meet inside the Ferrell Center in Waco, Texas, when the streaking Jayhawks take on Baylor.

Kansas moved to 6-0 in Big 12 action (5-1 ATS) with Saturday’s narrow 66-61 home win over Colorado, coming up way short of covering the 22-point line to end a 5-0 ATS run. The Jayhawks have tightened up their defense lately, holding five straight opponents to 67 points or less and giving up just 59.8 points and 38.4 percent shooting in those five wins.

Baylor enters this contest on a three-game SU and ATS losing skid, and the Bears are just 3-5 SU (2-6 ATS) in their last eight. Baylor went to Missouri on Saturday and got hammered 89-72 as 6½-point underdogs. The Bears have played little defense lately, allowing 83.8 ppg on 47 percent shooting over their last five outings.

Kansas has won seven straight (3-4 ATS) in this series, including a 100-90 victory in last year’s only meeting, coming up well short as a 16½-point home chalk. The last time the Jayhawks went to Baylor they rolled 82-56 as 9½-point favorites in January 2007. In fact, the visitor is 7-0 ATS in the last seven meetings between these two.

The Jayhawks are riding ATS streaks of 5-1 overall, 5-0 on Mondays, 7-2 on the road and 6-1 in Big 12 action. Baylor is 5-0 ATS in its last five Monday games, but otherwise the Bears are in the midst of negative ATS trends of 2-6 overall (all in Big 12 play) and 1-4 after a non-cover.

Kansas has stayed under the total in five of its last seven roadies, four of five Big 12 games and five of six after a straight-up win. Conversely, the Bears are on “over” streaks of 24-7 overall, 11-4 at home, 29-16 in conference play and 21-5 after a non-cover.

ATS ADVANTAGE: KANSAS

 

[skidmrk]

John Ryan

LA Lakers at New York

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Knicks as the host the Lakers slated to start at 7:30 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 32-10 ATS for 76% since 1996. Play against road teams after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games facing an opponent after successfully covering the spread in 6 or more consecutive games. Knicks are 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams making >=36% of their attempts this season.

Play on: New York

 

[skidmrk]

Cajun Sports

Butler Bulldogs -1.5 vs. Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix
PLAY: 2 Wisconsin-Green Bay +1.5

The Resch Center will be the site of tonights Horizon Conference battle between the host Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix and the visiting Bulldogs from Butler. Both teams enter tonights contest off wins on their home floor in their most recent game.

Butler brings a 19-1 SU and 13-5 ATS record on the season into this contest. The Bulldogs are 8-1 both straight up and against the spread on the road this season. They are 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS when facing conference opponents averaging 66.4 points per game versus teams that allow 64.9 points per game. Defensively the Bulldogs are allowing 58.9 points per game to teams that average 64.4 points per game.

The Bulldogs most recent contest was played at home versus Valparaiso last Friday and they won straight up 59 to 51 but didnt come close to covering the 18.5 point chalk the linesmaker assigned them. Wisconsin Green Bay actually had to face this same Valpo team right after losing to Butler on the road back on January 22nd, 59 to 68 and they went into Valpos house and defeated them 83 to 76 as a 5 point road favorite. That loss to Butler made its mark on the Phoenix they have not lost straight up or against the number since that time going 3-0 both SU and ATS.

Wisconsin-GB is 17-6 SU and 13-4 against the number this season. When taking their home floor they are 10-1 SU and a perfect 7-0 against the number averaging 77.9 points per game versus teams that would normally only allow 67.0 points per game and on the defensive end the boys from Green Bay allow 60.7 points per game to teams that average scoring 66.0 points per game. Green Bay has solid point differential numbers on both ends of the floor and reveal a dedicated home team that will be looking to avenge that earlier loss to these Bulldogs.

Wisconsin-GB has technical support in that they are 15-4 ATS when the line is pk-2.5 off a straight up win in their last game, if they happen to be playing at home their record is 9-2 ATS their last 11 in that situation. Green Bay is 13-4 ATS off an ATS win in their last game and if they are installed as a conference underdog their record is 10-2 ATS. If Green Bay went over the posted total in their last game and now face a conference opponent with a line range of pk-2.5 they are a perfect 7-0 ATS. Butler coming in off at least eight wins in a row have a record of 2-11-1 ATS and if they are a road favorite their record is 1-7-1 ATS. When the Bulldogs won their last game straight up and are now on the conference highway their record is 16-33-1 ATS. The Bulldogs off two wins and now facing a conference foe on the road they are 12-28-1 ATS and if installed as a favorite their record is 10-22-1 ATS, if the line is pk-2.5 they are 0-6 ATS.

With significant support from both the fundamental and technical indicators for this game we will back the host here as the Phoenix rises up and avenges their loss at Butler. Take the short price as Wisconsin-Green Bay gets the straight up win on Monday night.

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: (2) Wisconsin-Green Bay 67 Butler 62

 

[Baiza]

Dr. Canada

Game 1 - Flames/Avalanche over 5.5

Game 2 - Anaheim Ducks -135